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Diageo PLC (NYSE:DEO) Reports Mixed First-Half Results, Halves Dividend Amid Weak Demand

Diageo PLC (NYSE:DEO) reported adjusted basic earnings per share of 95.3 cents for the half-year ended December 31, 2025, down 2.5% year-over-year, reflecting softer performance in key markets despite cost efficiencies.The company announced a significant dividend reduction, halving the interim dividend to 20 cents per share (from 40.5 cents previously). This reflects a revised dividend policy targeting a payout ratio of 30-50% of earnings, with a minimum annual floor of 50 cents, as part of a strategic reset under new CEO Sir Dave Lewis to enhance financial flexibility, strengthen the balance sheet, and support investments in competitiveness and portfolio growth. Net sales reached $10.46 billion, down 4.0% on a reported basis and 2.8% organically.
 
The organic decline was driven by weakness in North America (particularly U.S. spirits and tequila categories, pressured by consumer disposable income and competition from affordable alternatives) and continued softness in Chinese white spirits, partially offset by strong growth in Europe, Latin America & Caribbean, and Africa. Organic operating profit also declined 2.8% (to approximately $3.256 billion), in line with sales trends, though cost savings and efficiencies helped mitigate some pressures from adverse mix, tariffs, and inflation. Operating profit margin held relatively steady in adjusted terms.Despite these challenges, Diageo’s operational resilience was evident in resilient margins in certain regions and ongoing cost discipline. Free cash flow was $1.53 billion, down year-over-year due to working capital movements.
 
On February 25, 2026, Diageo released these interim results, leading to shares falling around 6-10% on the FTSE 100 (with similar pressure on NYSE:DEO), as investors reacted to the dividend cut, lowered full-year guidance, and persistent demand issues in major markets. Diageo updated its fiscal 2026 outlook, now expecting organic net sales to decline 2-3% (previously flat to slightly down) due to further U.S. weakness, with organic operating profit growth flat to up low-single-digits (down from prior low- to mid-single-digit expectations).
 
The company continues to target around $3 billion in free cash flow and emphasized deleveraging efforts, including proceeds from planned disposals.Diageo PLC, a leading global spirits company, maintains a diverse portfolio including brands like Johnnie Walker, Guinness, Smirnoff, and Don Julio. It operates worldwide with significant exposure to the U.S. and China, facing competition from other major players in the industry.
 
Diageo’s financial metrics provide context to its position: trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio around 20-21x, price-to-sales ratio approximately 2.4x, enterprise value to sales around 3.5x, and enterprise value to operating cash flow about 13-14x. Debt-to-equity remains elevated at roughly 2.2x, with a current ratio of 1.63 indicating solid short-term liquidity.
 
New CEO Sir Dave Lewis, who joined in January 2026, described the results as “mixed” and highlighted “significant work ahead” to address weak demand, enhance competitiveness, broaden the portfolio, and resolve capacity constraints (e.g., for Guinness). He framed the dividend rebase and guidance adjustments as steps to build flexibility for a turnaround focused on shareholder value. Analyst commentary, such as from Jefferies’ Edward Mundy, noted the dividend cut was somewhat anticipated but still below consensus expectations (around 43 cents), with potential minor adjustments to fiscal 2027 forecasts due to revenue softness.
 
Overall, the results underscore ongoing industry headwinds in premium spirits, but Diageo is positioning for recovery through strategic agility under its new leadership. For full details, refer to Diageo’s official investor relations materials from February 25, 2026.

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