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Super-Long JGB Yields Plunge on Issuance Cut Hopes

Yields on Japan’s longest-dated government bonds tumbled sharply Tuesday after Reuters reported the Ministry of Finance (MOF) may trim issuance of 20-, 30- and 40-year JGBs to stem recent sell-off pressures.

Yield Moves and Market Reaction

  • 30-year JGB: down 12.5 bps to 2.91%, lowest since May 14.

  • 20-year JGB: down 13.5 bps to 2.37%.

  • 10-year JGB: also eased, falling 4.5 bps to 1.46%.

Investors had been bracing for a possible MOF intervention after long-dated yields hit multi-decade highs on worries over reduced Bank of Japan bond purchases and political debates over stimulus.

Issuance Shift and Curve Dynamics

If the MOF cuts super-long issuance, it will likely ramp up shorter-dated bonds to maintain funding needs—pressuring the front end of the curve even as the long end rallies. For a full schedule of upcoming bond auctions and policy events, see the Economics Calendar API, which flags MOF announcements and BOJ meetings that drive yield volatility.

The divergent moves across maturities also reshape the yield curve, with potential implications for rate-sensitive sectors. Historical sector performance during similar curve steepening episodes can be explored via the Sector Historical API, helping investors gauge which equity groups tend to benefit when long yields fall but short yields rise.

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